November 2, 2004

The first exit poll leak has broken at the Daily Kos, and it looks good (showing a net gain of around 30 electoral college votes on the last prediction). AZ CO LA PA OH FL MI NM MN WI IA NH Kerry 45 48 42 60 52 51 51 50 58 52 49 57 Bush…

Read More MARGIN OF ERROR – perhaps not within the margin of error after all?

Note – I’m going to tag everything election-related as a MARGIN OF ERROR post in the next few days. The figures, anyway. Fox News (eh?) give Kerry 49%, Bush 44% in Florida. If I’m not very much mistaken that’s actually outside the Margin. Yes, MOE=+-3.7%. (Link) Fox’s final national has Kerry +2 and +5 among…

Read More MARGIN OF ERROR: more last polls, more first reports